Year | Population over 65 (10,000) | FGM(1,1) | DES | Logistic | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Predicted value (10,000) | APE (%) | Predicted value (10,000) | APE (%) | Predicted value (10,000) | APE (%) | ||
2011 | 941.28 | 941.28 | 0.00 | 941.28 | 0.00 | 933.36 | 0.84 |
2012 | 970.37 | 961.27 | 0.94 | 970.37 | 0.00 | 975.76 | 0.56 |
2013 | 1017.94 | 1015.49 | 0.24 | 1005.00 | 1.27 | 1019.90 | 0.19 |
2014 | 1072.47 | 1066.63 | 0.54 | 1047.65 | 2.31 | 1065.82 | 0.62 |
2015 | 1115.08 | 1116.93 | 0.17 | 1093.85 | 1.90 | 1113.58 | 0.13 |
2016 | 1167.55 | 1167.44 | 0.01 | 1145.19 | 1.92 | 1163.23 | 0.37 |
2017 | 1199.91 | 1218.71 | 1.57 | 1194.18 | 0.48 | 1214.82 | 1.24 |
2018 | 1256.45 | 1271.10 | 1.17 | 1246.30 | 0.81 | 1268.41 | 0.95 |
2019 | 1330.29 | 1324.86 | 0.41 | 1306.46 | 1.79 | 1324.04 | 0.47 |
2020 | 1387.92 | 1380.19 | 0.56 | 1369.44 | 1.33 | 1381.76 | 0.44 |
2021 | 1443.95 | 1437.23 | 0.47 | 1433.10 | 0.75 | 1441.63 | 0.16 |
MAPE (%) | Â | 0.551 | Â | 1.142 | Â | 0.544 | |
2022 | 1522.00 | 1496.13 | 1.70 | 1494.44 | 1.81 | 1503.68 | 1.20 |
2023 | 1540.55 | 1557.02 | 1.07 | 1555.77 | 0.99 | 1567.97 | 1.78 |
MAPE (%) | Â | 1.384 | Â | 1.400 | Â | 1.492 |