Skip to main content

Table 2 Predictive model for estimation of five-year cardiovascular risk in men

From: Development and validation of a five-year cardiovascular risk assessment tool for Asian adults aged 75 years and older

Variable

Final model

ß

Hazard ratio (95% CI)

P-value

Baseline survival S0(5) = 0.8712

Age, years

 75–79

Reference

Reference

–-

 80–84

0.2484

1.28 (1.06, 1.55)

0.01

 85–89

0.5484

1.73 (1.38, 2.18)

 < 0.001

 90–94

0.4960

1.64 (1.08, 2.49)

0.02

 ≥ 95

−0.1580

0.85 (0.27, 2.67)

0.79

Smoking

0.2930

1.34 (1.11, 1.61)

0.002

Non-HDL-C, mg/dL

 < 130

Reference

Reference

–-

 130–160

0.1501

1.16 (0.84, 1.60)

0.33

 > 160

0.3488

1.42 (1.00, 2.02)

0.05

Metastatic cancer

−0.8263

0.44 (0.20, 0.98)

0.04

Aspirin

0.2073

1.23 (1.02, 1.49)

0.03

  1. The CVD risk at 5 years: 1-S(t|X) = 1 – S0(t)exp(βX), where t = 5
  2. Abbreviations: CVD cardiovascular disease, HDL-C high-density lipoprotein cholesterol
Back to article page

BMC Geriatrics

ISSN: 1471-2318

Contact us